Model updated
Financial model updated — 6 July 2026
This dashboard reflects a revised cost structure following a detailed review and optimisation of the financial model. Key changes include updated operating cost projections, revised EBITDA figures, and a recalculated funding plan.

All data presented is based on the Realistic scenario unless otherwise indicated.
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ARR 2030
€7.79M
✓ Realistic scenario
MRR 2030
€649K
Monthly recurring
EBITDA 2030
€4.79M
Margin 61.5%
4y Cumul. Revenue
€14.2M
2026–2030
Paid Users 2030
4 311
Arch + Designers + Students
Producers 2030
312
Paying SaaS
Revenue CAGR
121%
2027 → 2030
GMV Total 2030
€95.3M
Realistic · 72% active
Revenue — 4 Scenarios
Cash & Funding — Realistic
Seed €1M + PARP €620K · EBITDA+ from Q1 2029
P&L Realistic — Revenue vs EBITDA
Revenue
EBITDA (positive)
EBITDA (negative)
Stream 1 · Arch Subscriptions
€1.81M
4,311 paid × €420/yr
Stream 2 · Producer Subscriptions
€1.11M
312 producers × ~€3,019/yr
Stream 3 · Commission
€4.38M
10pp net of GMV
Streams 4+5 · Other
€0.47M
Onboarding + 3D Rendering
Revenue Mix — Stream Breakdown
Subscriptions — Architects (S1)
Subscriptions — Producers (S2)
Commission (S3)
Onboarding (S4)
Conversion Funnel — Realistic 2030
Visits → Paid Users
Visits
2 000 000
Sign-ups (4%)
80 000
Activated (30%)
24 000
New Paid (18%)
4 320
Cumulative Paid (M12 ret. 50%)
4 311
End-to-end conversion: 0.216% · M12 retention: 50%
GMV trajectory & Commission
GMV per architect + SIMTU net commission
GMV/architect Y4: €14,500 · Net commission: 10pp
Revenue per stream — 2030 breakdown
Realistic scenario · absolute values
Commission (S3)
€4.38M
Subscriptions — Architects (S1)
€1.81M
Subscriptions — Producers (S2)
€1.11M
Onboarding (S4)
€0.47M
Commission dominates at 56.2% of total revenue by 2030
Commission growth driver
GMV scale × 10pp net take rate
GMV Trajectory (Realistic)
2026 H2
€3.5k
2027
€7k
2028
€8.75k
2029
€12.5k
2030
€14.5k
SIMTU Wallet: 5pp cashback to the architect drives retention and lock-in. 10pp net to SIMTU funds growth without additional CAC.
Pre-launch — model-based data, not yet empirically validated
SIMTU has not yet launched. LTV, CAC, and Payback values are estimates based on B2B SaaS marketplace benchmarks (Lighter Capital 2025, Benchmarkit 2025) and an independent survey (UMCS, N=112, September 2024). Unit economics will be validated post-beta launch, scheduled for July 2026, and updated ahead of the next funding milestone.
LTV — Architect
€671
LTV/CAC 3.36x ✓
LTV — Interior Designer
€671
LTV/CAC 3.73x ✓
LTV — Manufacturer
€8 983
LTV/CAC 3.33x ✓
Burn Multiple
1.23x
Top quartile (<1.5x)
LTV / CAC / Payback — Summary by Persona
Persona
LTV · Ratio
CAC
Payback
Result
Architect
€671 · 3.36x
€200
6.7 mo.
✓ Strong
Interior Designer
€671 · 3.73x
€180
6.1 mo.
✓ Strong
Student
€77 · 1.53x
€50
11.8 mo.
Pipeline
Manufacturer
€8 983 · 3.33x
€2 700
12.7 mo.
✓ Strong
Magic Number — by Scenario
Net New ARR × 4 / cumulative S&M spend · benchmark: 1.5x = top quartile
Gross Margin progression
Realistic scenario · SaaS benchmark 70-85%
Burn Multiple — by Scenario (Net Cash Burn / Net New ARR)
Benchmark: <1.5x = top quartile · Realistic 1.23x = top quartile · lower cost structure drives strong efficiency
TAM Layer 1
€170M
Arch + designer + student subscriptions
TAM Layer 2
€203M
+ Manufacturer SaaS
Commission Upside
€332M
Realistic @ 72% active
TAM US + ME (2030+)
€850M+
Expansion TAM from 2030
TAM by Country — Layer 2
Arch + designer + student + manufacturer subscriptions
IT
€65.9M
DE
€44.7M
UK
€25.1M
FR
€24.8M
PL
€16.3M
CH
€11.4M
BE
€8.4M
NL
€6.9M
SAM — Geographic Ramp-Up
8 EU markets · US entry in 2030 shown separately (informational)
Global Expansion — US (2030) and Middle East (2031)
Beyond the EU model horizon · Polish premium furniture manufacturers seek entry into these markets — a coordinated market entry is being explored in partnership with PAIH
USA — Planned Market Entry 2030
2030
Architects
~115 000
Interior Designers
~65 000
EU Manufacturers
~12,000 exporters
TAM US ≈ €400–500M
Polish premium furniture manufacturers are seeking US market access — expansion is challenging without local infrastructure and a distribution partner. SIMTU is planning a coordinated market entry in partnership with PAIH.
Middle East (UAE/KSA) — Market Entry 2031
2031+
Architects
~45 000
Interior Designers
~30 000
EU Manufacturers
~3,500 exporters
TAM ME ≈ €350–450M · UAE + KSA + Qatar
Polish manufacturers already export premium furniture to MENA — scaling is challenging without on-ground support. SIMTU is exploring a coordinated entry with PAIH. Outside the current financial model horizon — shown for context.
Geographic Expansion Roadmap
Market 2026 H22027202820292030
Total OPEX 2030
€3.0M
vs Revenue €7.79M
Personnel 2030
€2.36M
78.6% of OPEX · PL/CEE cost advantage
Marketing 2030
€519K
17.3% of OPEX
S&M 2030
€2.55M
32.7% of revenue
Headcount Plan — FTE 2026 → 2030
Total: 8 → 37 FTE
OPEX Mix 2030
Personnel €2.36M
Marketing €519K
Infra & Other €123K
OPEX progression — 2026 → 2030
Realistic scenario · stacked by cost category
R&D
S&M
G&A
CS
COGS
Personnel
Funding Plan
S
Seed Round — €1M (H2 2026)
Pre-money €4M · Post-money €5M · 20% equity dilution · 10% ESOP · Runway to EBITDA+ without further dilutive rounds
A
PARP Non-Dilutive Grant — €620K (Q2 2027)
Non-dilutive bridge · Minimum cash buffer €461K in 2028 · Total capital raised: €1.62M · No Series A required
EBITDA-positive from Q1 2029 — self-sustaining
Realistic: €4.79M EBITDA in 2030 (61.5% margin) · Bear also EBITDA+ · Cash self-sustaining from 2029 · No further dilutive rounds required
EBITDA Base 2030
€4.79M
Margin 61.5%
Worst Case (S4)
-€0.2M
Bear rev + +30% personnel
Best Case (S6 Bull)
€5.8M
Margin 35.0%
Cash 2030 (Realistic)
€6.99M
Seed + PARP only
Tornado Chart — Impact of ±Variables on EBITDA 2030
Stress test scenarios
Scenario
ARR Y4
EBITDA Y4
Margin
Status
S1: Western EU hire (+30% personnel)
€7.79M
€4.1M
52.4%
OK
S2: Weaker funnel (visits -20%, conversion -20%)
€5.0M
€2.0M
39.8%
OK
S3: Lower M12 retention (50% → 40%)
€6.6M
€3.6M
54.7%
OK
S4: Worst case (combined scenarios)
€3.5M
-€0.2M
-5.7%
Monitor
S5: Marketing inefficient (+50% S&M)
€7.79M
€4.5M
58.2%
OK
S6: Best case Bull (+visits +retention)
€16.5M
€5.8M
35.0%
⭐ Elite